- SPOILER - El siguiente texto está oculto. Presioná en la barra para mostrarlo. Mesoscale Discussion 1767
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1043 AM CST Mon Nov 06 2017
Areas affected...Northern Arkansas...southern Missouri...far western
Tennessee and Kentucky
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 061643Z - 061915Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...A smattering of thunderstorms today will have the
capability of producing marginally severe hail.
DISCUSSION...A small cluster of thunderstorms persists across
northeast AR in a zone of modest instability and supported by an
elevated warm front. Flow aloft is strong out of the west, resulting
in favorably long hodographs for sustained cells. These cells have
mainly shown indications of hail less than 1.00" this morning.
Behind this activity, satellite imagery shows new elevated
development across far northern AR into southwest MO, with lighting
recently detected. Models suggest increasing lift from warm
advection across this area today with backed 850 mb flow. In
addition, temperatures aloft are cooler with northward extent which
will aid destabilization as low-level warm advection continues. The
result should be an additional rash of strong storms with a few
containing hail up to 1.00".