Tormenta Tropical Sarika

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Tincho
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Registrado: Mié Ago 26, 2009 10:40 pm

Tormenta Tropical Sarika

Mensajepor Tincho » Mié Jun 08, 2011 11:16 pm

Bueno renovamos las aguas por el pacifico oeste y ya tenemos nuevamente una depresion tropical a la vista!
Imagen

este es el aviso de alerta publica, donde especifica el movimiento y las condicines de viento.

Tropical depression 05w (five) warning nr 001
01 active tropical cyclone in northwestpac
Max sustained winds based on one-minute average
wind radii valid over open water only
---
warning position:
090000z --- near 14.9n 119.6e
movement past six hours - 295 degrees at 07 kts
position accurate to within 060 nm
position based on center located by satellite
present wind distribution:
Max sustained winds - 025 kt, gusts 035 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
repeat posit: 14.9n 119.6e
---
forecasts:
12 hrs, valid at:
091200z --- 15.8n 118.3e
Max sustained winds - 030 kt, gusts 040 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
vector to 24 hr posit: 330 deg/ 09 kts
---
24 hrs, valid at:
100000z --- 17.4n 117.4e
Max sustained winds - 035 kt, gusts 045 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
vector to 36 hr posit: 340 deg/ 10 kts
---
36 hrs, valid at:
101200z --- 19.3n 116.7e
Max sustained winds - 040 kt, gusts 050 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
radius of 034 kt winds - 040 nm northeast quadrant
035 nm southeast quadrant
035 nm southwest quadrant
035 nm northwest quadrant
vector to 48 hr posit: 360 deg/ 11 kts
---
extended outlook:
48 hrs, valid at:
110000z --- 21.5n 116.6e
Max sustained winds - 040 kt, gusts 050 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
radius of 034 kt winds - 040 nm northeast quadrant
040 nm southeast quadrant
035 nm southwest quadrant
035 nm northwest quadrant
vector to 72 hr posit: 010 deg/ 10 kts
---
72 hrs, valid at:
120000z --- 25.5n 117.3e
Max sustained winds - 020 kt, gusts 030 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
dissipated as a significant tropical cyclone over land
---
remarks:
090300z position near 15.1n 119.3e.
Tropical depression (td) 05w, located approximately 90 nm west of
Manila, Philippines, has tracked west-northwestward at 07 knots
during the past six hours. This warning supersedes and cancels ref
a, navmarfcstcen 081951z Jun 11 tropical cyclone formation alert



va directo las costas oestes de taiwan y estes de china!
Adjuntos
Sin título.png

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Tincho
Mensajes: 1733
Registrado: Mié Ago 26, 2009 10:40 pm

Re: Tormenta Tropical Sarika

Mensajepor Tincho » Jue Jun 09, 2011 9:45 pm

Paso al siguiente nivel :mrgreen:
Imagen
Imagen
Discusion:
1. For meteorologists.
2. 12 hour summary and analysis.
A. Tropical depression (td) 05w, located approximately 190 nm
northwest of Manila, Philippines, has tracked north-
northwestward at 12 knots over the past six hours. Animated infrared
satellite imagery shows curved inflow into a low level circulation
center. A 091231z ssmis microwave image shows a decrease in
convective banding with most of the deep convection along the
southern periphery. Water vapor imagery indicates a tropical upper
level tropospheric trough (tutt) located to the north is currently
inhibiting convection and outflow along the northern periphery.
Equatorward outflow remains favorable. The initial position was
based on the aforementioned ssmis image. The initial intensity was
based on pgtw and rjtd Dvorak estimates of 25 knots. TD 05w is
currently tracking along the southwestern periphery of a low- to mid-
level subtropical steering ridge.
3. Forecast reasoning.
A. This forecast reasoning has not changed since the previous
prognostic reasoning bulletin.
B. TD 05w is expected to continue tracking generally north-
northwestward over the next 12 hours and then will begin turning
more poleward as an approaching mid-latitude trough weakens the
steering ridge. TD 05w is expected to slowly intensify before making
landfall over China after tau 36 and dissipate over land by tau 72.
Numerical model guidance is in good agreement, however there is some
spread in the timing of recurvature and WBAR erroneously tracks the
system with the deep layer flow farther northwestward. GFS is
quickest to recurve the system as it predicts a deeper trough to
modify the steering ridge more significantly. This forecast is in
agreement with a slower recurvature. The intensity forecast is
slightly higher than guidance due to favorable divergence aloft and
warm sea surface temperatures.

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tchmotors
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Re: Tormenta Tropical Sarika

Mensajepor tchmotors » Jue Jun 09, 2011 10:16 pm

estas a full Tincho! gracias por la info che...ayudo con la MODIS recien salida del horno (o de la NASA :P )

Imagen
http://tormentasdebuenosaires.blogspot.com.ar Tormentas en Buenos Aires y alrededores, la mayor web con datos de tiempo severo en Argentina
http://alermet-argentina.blogspot.com.ar Alermet, Alertas y Avisos Meteorologicos para la Republica Argentina

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Tincho
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Re: Tormenta Tropical Sarika

Mensajepor Tincho » Jue Jun 09, 2011 10:26 pm

UHHH buenisimo gracias mauro por subirla! :mrgreen:

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Tincho
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Re: Tormenta Tropical Sarika

Mensajepor Tincho » Sab Jun 11, 2011 8:07 pm

Bueno ultima discusion del sistema.
ya se ha debilitado ya hace horas, entrando a las costas de China como depresion tropical, trayendo precipitacion en la zona.
Esto es una despedida a otro sistema que ha pasado por aqui.
RIP

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Porra
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Re: Tormenta Tropical Sarika

Mensajepor Porra » Sab Jun 11, 2011 9:20 pm

Tincho, no enlaces las imágenes de wunderground que se van acttualizando y dejan a los posts sin sentido. Subilas al repositorio.
"Dios me odia" y "estaba relampagueando como un campeon" son frases registradas por Porra Inc. Derechos reservados para su uso y difusión.


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