TC (GIRI) 04B

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MAURICIO DE BRAGADO
Mensajes: 511
Registrado: Mié Mar 31, 2010 10:46 am

TC (GIRI) 04B

Mensajepor MAURICIO DE BRAGADO » Vie Oct 22, 2010 9:41 am

ES IMPRESIONANTE COMO SE INTENSIFICO ESTE CICLON..

WTIO31 PGTW 220900
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B (GIRI) WARNING NR 006//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B (GIRI) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
220600Z --- NEAR 18.9N 93.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.9N 93.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 20.2N 94.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 21.6N 95.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 23.2N 96.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
220900Z POSITION NEAR 19.2N 93.3E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 04B (GIRI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF CHITTAGONG, BANGLADESH, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD
AT SIX KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A WELL-DEFINED 25 NM EYE, LENDING TO HIGH
CONFIDENCE IN THE CURRENT POSITION. THE CURRENT INTENSITY OF 125
KNOTS IS BASED ON DVORAK ESTIMATES RANGING FROM 115 TO 127 KNOTS
FROM PGTW AND KNES, INDICATING THE SYSTEM HAS UNDERGONE RAPID
INTENSIFICATION WITHIN THE PAST SIX HOURS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS
INDICATES TC GIRI IS LOCATED SLIGHTLY NORTH OF THE RIDGE AXIS IN AN
AREA OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW. TC GIRI
IS CURRENTLY TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF
THE NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE LOCATED SOUTH AND EAST OF THE SYSTEM AND
IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ALONG THIS TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST
PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL IN THE VICINITY OF
HUNTERS BAY AND COMBERMERE BAY BETWEEN 22/12Z AND 22/18Z. TC GIRI IS
FORECAST TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS INLAND OVER THE RUGGED
TERRAIN OF MAYANMAR AND WILL DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE BY TAU 36. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS TIGHTLY PACKED;
THEREFORE THIS FORECAST IS CLOSE TO MODEL CONSENSUS. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
222100Z AND 230900Z.//
NNNN



ADT811 LIST 04B.ODT
===== ADT-Version 8.1.1 =====
--------Intensity------- -Tno Values-- ---Tno/CI Rules--- -Temperature-
Time Final/MSLPLat/Vmax Fnl Adj Ini Cnstrnt Wkng Rpd Cntr Mean Scene EstRMW MW Storm Location Fix
Date (UTC) CI MSLP /BiasAdj/(kts) Tno Raw Raw Limit Flag Wkng Region Cloud Type (km) Score Lat Lon Mthd Comments
2010OCT21 033000 2.0 1000.0/ +0.0 / 30.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 NO LIMIT OFF OFF -64.16 -71.34 UNIFRM N/A -0.00 17.63 -91.50 FCST
2010OCT21 040000 2.1 999.4/ +0.0 / 31.0 2.1 2.2 2.6 0.2T/hour OFF OFF -61.06 -69.41 UNIFRM N/A -0.00 17.66 -91.51 FCST
2010OCT21 043000 2.1 999.4/ +0.0 / 31.0 2.1 2.2 2.6 0.2T/hour OFF OFF -62.56 -67.82 UNIFRM N/A -0.00 17.69 -91.51 FCST
2010OCT21 050000 2.2 998.8/ +0.0 / 32.0 2.2 2.4 3.4 0.2T/hour OFF OFF -64.16 -66.15 SHEAR N/A -0.00 17.71 -91.51 FCST
2010OCT21 053000 2.2 998.8/ +0.0 / 32.0 2.2 2.4 2.9 0.2T/hour OFF OFF -50.16 -64.49 CRVBND N/A -0.00 17.74 -91.52 FCST
2010OCT21 060000 2.2 998.8/ +0.0 / 32.0 2.2 2.5 2.5 NO LIMIT OFF OFF -55.36 -63.20 CRVBND N/A -0.00 17.77 -91.53 FCST
2010OCT21 063000 2.3 998.2/ +0.0 / 33.0 2.3 2.6 2.6 NO LIMIT OFF OFF -55.36 -62.25 CRVBND N/A -0.00 17.80 -91.54 FCST
2010OCT21 070000 2.3 998.2/ +0.0 / 33.0 2.3 2.3 2.3 NO LIMIT OFF OFF -53.96 -61.31 CRVBND N/A -0.00 17.82 -91.55 FCST
2010OCT21 073000 2.4 997.6/ +0.0 / 34.0 2.4 2.6 2.6 NO LIMIT OFF OFF -70.96 -63.00 UNIFRM N/A -0.00 17.55 -91.84 FCST
2010OCT21 080000 2.4 997.6/ +0.0 / 34.0 2.4 2.4 2.7 MW Adjst OFF OFF -70.96 -63.37 UNIFRM N/A -0.00 17.57 -91.86 FCST MWinit=2.5/2.4/2.4
2010OCT21 090000 2.6 995.8/ +0.0 / 37.0 2.6 2.6 2.7 MW Adjst OFF OFF -69.16 -62.54 UNIFRM N/A -0.00 17.60 -91.90 FCST MWinit=2.7/2.5/2.5
2010OCT21 093000 2.6 995.8/ +0.0 / 37.0 2.6 2.6 2.9 MW Adjst OFF OFF -70.96 -61.85 UNIFRM N/A -0.00 17.62 -91.92 FCST MWinit=2.9/2.6/2.6
2010OCT21 100000 2.7 994.6/ +0.0 / 39.0 2.7 2.7 3.0 MW Adjst OFF OFF -69.16 -61.74 UNIFRM N/A -0.00 17.64 -91.94 FCST MWinit=2.8/2.6/2.6
2010OCT21 103000 2.8 993.4/ +0.0 / 41.0 2.8 2.8 2.9 MW Adjst OFF OFF -72.76 -60.59 UNIFRM N/A -0.00 17.66 -91.97 FCST MWinit=2.8/2.7/2.7
2010OCT21 110000 2.9 992.2/ +0.0 / 43.0 2.9 2.9 3.1 MW Adjst OFF OFF -76.76 -61.58 UNIFRM N/A -0.00 17.67 -91.99 FCST MWinit=2.9/2.7/2.7
2010OCT21 113000 3.0 991.0/ +0.0 / 45.0 3.0 3.0 3.1 MW Adjst OFF OFF -72.76 -62.03 UNIFRM N/A -0.00 17.69 -92.01 FCST MWinit=2.9/2.8/2.8
2010OCT21 120000 3.0 991.0/ +0.0 / 45.0 3.0 3.0 3.2 MW Adjst OFF OFF -70.96 -63.36 UNIFRM N/A N/A 17.72 -92.04 FCST MWinit=2.9/2.8/2.8
2010OCT21 123000 3.1 989.6/ +0.0 / 47.0 3.1 3.1 3.2 MW Adjst OFF OFF -70.96 -64.00 UNIFRM N/A N/A 17.74 -92.06 FCST MWinit=3.0/2.8/2.8
2010OCT21 130000 3.2 988.2/ +0.0 / 49.0 3.2 3.2 3.2 MW Adjst OFF OFF -69.06 -63.51 UNIFRM N/A N/A 17.76 -92.09 FCST MWinit=3.0/2.9/2.9
2010OCT21 133000 3.3 986.8/ +0.0 / 51.0 3.3 3.3 3.3 MW Adjst OFF OFF -65.66 -62.94 UNIFRM N/A 0.00 17.86 -92.18 FCST MWinit=3.1/2.9/2.9
2010OCT21 140000 3.4 985.4/ +0.0 / 53.0 3.4 3.4 3.3 MW Adjst OFF OFF -60.96 -62.82 UNIFRM N/A 0.00 17.89 -92.21 FCST MWinit=3.1/2.9/2.9
2010OCT21 143000 3.4 985.4/ +0.0 / 53.0 3.4 3.4 3.4 MW Adjst OFF OFF -60.96 -64.06 UNIFRM N/A 0.00 17.91 -92.24 FCST MWinit=3.2/3.0/3.0
2010OCT21 150000 3.5 984.0/ +0.0 / 55.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 MW Adjst OFF OFF -60.96 -65.16 UNIFRM N/A 0.00 17.94 -92.27 FCST MWinit=3.2/3.0/3.0
2010OCT21 153000 3.6 982.4/ +0.0 / 57.0 3.6 3.6 3.5 MW Adjst OFF OFF -50.06 -66.28 EMBC N/A 0.00 17.96 -92.30 FCST MWinit=3.3/3.1/3.1
2010OCT21 160000 3.7 980.8/ +0.0 / 59.0 3.7 3.7 3.5 MW Adjst OFF OFF -51.36 -67.75 UNIFRM N/A 0.00 17.99 -92.33 FCST MWinit=3.3/3.1/3.1
2010OCT21 163000 3.8 979.2/ +0.0 / 61.0 3.8 3.8 3.5 MW Adjst OFF OFF -53.86 -67.56 UNIFRM N/A 0.00 18.01 -92.36 FCST MWinit=3.4/3.2/3.2
2010OCT21 170000 3.8 979.2/ +0.0 / 61.0 3.8 3.8 3.4 MW Adjst OFF OFF -52.56 -67.24 UNIFRM N/A 13.90 18.04 -92.40 FCST MWinit=3.4/3.2/3.2
2010OCT21 173000 3.9 977.6/ +0.0 / 63.0 3.9 3.9 3.5 MW Adjst OFF OFF -64.06 -69.44 UNIFRM N/A 13.90 18.07 -92.43 FCST MWinit=3.5/3.3/3.3
2010OCT21 180000 4.0 976.0/ +0.0 / 65.0 4.0 4.0 3.6 MW Adjst OFF OFF -65.66 -71.27 UNIFRM N/A 13.90 18.10 -92.46 FCST MWinit=3.5/3.3/3.3
2010OCT21 183000 4.1 974.0/ +0.0 / 67.4 4.1 4.1 3.6 MW Adjst OFF OFF -58.06 -71.29 UNIFRM N/A 13.90 18.13 -92.50 FCST MWinit=3.5/3.4/3.4
2010OCT21 190000 4.2 972.0/ +0.0 / 69.8 4.2 4.2 3.6 MW Adjst OFF OFF -59.46 -70.78 EMBC N/A 13.90 18.16 -92.53 FCST MWinit=3.6/3.4/3.4
2010OCT21 193000 4.2 972.0/ +0.0 / 69.8 4.2 4.2 3.7 MW Adjst OFF OFF -56.66 -72.19 UNIFRM N/A 13.90 18.33 -92.48 FCST MWinit=3.6/3.5/3.5
2010OCT21 200000 4.3 970.0/ +0.0 / 72.2 4.3 4.3 3.7 MW ON OFF OFF -56.66 -72.93 UNIFRM N/A 23.50 18.37 -92.51 FCST MWinit=3.6/3.5/3.5
2010OCT21 203000 4.3 970.0/ +0.0 / 72.2 4.3 4.3 3.6 MW ON OFF OFF -67.36 -72.38 UNIFRM N/A 23.50 18.45 -92.48 FCST MWinit=3.6/3.5/3.5
2010OCT21 210000 4.3 970.0/ +0.0 / 72.2 4.3 4.3 3.5 MW ON OFF OFF -70.86 -72.03 UNIFRM N/A 23.50 18.50 -92.50 FCST MWinit=3.5/3.5/3.5
2010OCT21 213000 4.3 970.0/ +0.0 / 72.2 4.3 4.3 3.6 MW ON ON OFF -81.06 -72.16 UNIFRM N/A 23.50 18.55 -92.52 FCST
2010OCT21 220000 4.3 970.0/ +0.0 / 72.2 4.3 4.3 3.6 MW ON OFF OFF -81.06 -74.33 UNIFRM N/A 23.50 18.59 -92.54 FCST
2010OCT21 223000 4.3 970.0/ +0.0 / 72.2 4.3 4.3 3.7 MW ON OFF OFF -81.06 -78.18 UNIFRM N/A 23.50 18.64 -92.56 FCST
2010OCT21 230000 4.3 970.0/ +0.0 / 72.2 4.3 4.3 3.8 MW ON OFF OFF -76.66 -81.84 UNIFRM N/A 23.50 18.69 -92.59 FCST
2010OCT21 233000 4.3 970.0/ +0.0 / 72.2 4.3 4.3 3.9 MW ON OFF OFF -74.66 -82.35 UNIFRM N/A 23.50 18.73 -92.61 FCST
2010OCT22 000000 4.3 970.0/ +0.0 / 72.2 4.3 4.3 3.8 MW ON OFF OFF -81.06 -80.47 UNIFRM N/A 60.00 18.78 -92.64 FCST
2010OCT22 003000 4.3 970.0/ +0.0 / 72.2 4.3 4.3 3.9 MW ON OFF OFF -64.06 -81.01 UNIFRM N/A 60.00 18.55 -92.63 FCST
2010OCT22 010000 4.3 970.0/ +0.0 / 72.2 4.3 4.3 3.9 MW ON OFF OFF -67.36 -80.72 UNIFRM N/A 60.00 18.59 -92.66 FCST
2010OCT22 013000 4.3 970.0/ +0.0 / 72.2 4.3 4.3 3.9 MW ON OFF OFF -70.86 -80.01 UNIFRM N/A 50.00 18.64 -92.69 FCST
2010OCT22 020000 4.3 970.0/ +0.0 / 72.2 4.3 4.3 3.9 MW ON OFF OFF -67.36 -79.46 UNIFRM N/A 51.70 18.69 -92.72 FCST
2010OCT22 023000 4.3 970.0/ +0.0 / 72.2 4.3 4.3 3.9 MW ON OFF OFF -62.46 -78.63 UNIFRM N/A 51.70 18.75 -92.77 FCST
2010OCT22 030000 4.3 970.0/ +0.0 / 72.2 4.3 4.3 3.8 MW ON OFF OFF -56.66 -77.40 UNIFRM N/A 51.70 18.80 -92.80 FCST
2010OCT22 033000 4.3 970.0/ +0.0 / 72.2 4.3 4.3 6.1 MW ON OFF OFF -41.86 -75.86 EYE -99 IR 51.70 18.85 -92.83 FCST
2010OCT22 040000 4.3 970.0/ +0.0 / 72.2 4.3 4.3 6.1 MW ON OFF OFF -38.66 -75.36 EYE -99 IR 51.70 18.90 -92.87 FCST
2010OCT22 043000 4.3 970.0/ +0.0 / 72.2 4.3 4.8 6.1 MW AdjEnd OFF OFF -40.76 -75.48 EYE 8 IR 51.70 18.90 -92.95 SPRL
2010OCT22 050000 4.6 963.6/ +0.0 / 79.6 4.6 6.0 6.4 1.7T/6hr OFF OFF -21.96 -75.97 EYE 11 IR 51.70 18.85 -92.88 COMBO
2010OCT22 053000 4.9 956.4/ +0.0 / 87.4 4.9 6.0 6.4 1.7T/6hr OFF OFF -30.76 -76.44 EYE -99 IR 51.70 18.90 -92.91 COMBO
2010OCT22 060000 5.1 951.4/ +0.0 / 92.4 5.1 6.0 6.6 1.7T/6hr OFF OFF -20.26 -76.81 EYE 15 IR 51.70 18.95 -92.94 COMBO
2010OCT22 063000 5.5 941.0/ +0.0 /102.0 5.5 6.0 6.6 1.7T/6hr OFF OFF -15.46 -76.93 EYE 13 IR 51.70 19.00 -92.97 COMBO
2010OCT22 070000 5.5 941.0/ +0.0 /102.0 5.5 6.0 6.6 1.7T/6hr OFF OFF -17.06 -76.60 EYE -99 IR 51.70 19.05 -93.01 SPRL
2010OCT22 073000 5.8 932.6/ +0.0 /109.8 5.8 6.0 6.4 1.7T/6hr OFF OFF -15.46 -75.19 EYE 12 IR 51.70 19.21 -93.17 COMBO
2010OCT22 080000 6.0 927.0/ +0.0 /115.0 6.0 6.0 6.6 1.7T/6hr OFF OFF -9.46 -75.76 EYE 13 IR 51.70 19.26 -93.21 COMBO
2010OCT22 083000 6.0 927.0/ +0.0 /115.0 6.0 6.0 6.6 1.7T/6hr OFF OFF -9.46 -76.15 EYE 14 IR 51.70 19.30 -93.20 COMBO
2010OCT22 090000 6.0 927.0/ +0.0 /115.0 6.0 6.0 6.8 1.7T/6hr OFF OFF -5.96 -76.90 EYE 15 IR 80.90 19.35 -93.25 COMBO
2010OCT22 093000 6.0 927.0/ +0.0 /115.0 6.0 6.0 6.8 1.7T/6hr OFF OFF -12.46 -77.08 EYE 13 IR 80.90 19.40 -93.29 COMBO
2010OCT22 100000 6.0 927.0/ +0.0 /115.0 6.0 6.0 6.9 1.7T/6hr OFF OFF -9.46 -77.76 EYE 13 IR 80.90 19.55 -93.34 COMBO
2010OCT22 103000 6.0 927.0/ +0.0 /115.0 6.0 6.0 7.2 1.7T/6hr OFF OFF 1.44 -78.37 EYE 13 IR 80.90 19.61 -93.38 COMBO
2010OCT22 110000 6.0 927.0/ +0.0 /115.0 6.0 6.3 7.1 1.7T/6hr OFF OFF -10.96 -78.86 EYE 14 IR 80.90 19.66 -93.42 COMBO
2010OCT22 113000 6.1 924.4/ +0.0 /117.4 6.1 6.6 7.0 1.7T/6hr OFF OFF -15.46 -78.82 EYE 12 IR 36.20 19.72 -93.36 COMBO
Utilizing history file /home/misc/adt/scripts/history/04B.ODT
Successfully completed listing
Adjuntos
1.jpg
TC GIRI 04B 221020100600 TRAY JTWC.gif
TC GIRI 04B 221020101100IST TRAY WUNDERGROUND.gif

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matute_bow
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Registrado: Dom Jul 12, 2009 8:51 pm
Ubicación: Buenos Aires, Argentina
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Re: TC (GIRI) 04B

Mensajepor matute_bow » Vie Oct 22, 2010 10:47 am

Es TREMENDO lo de este ciclón eh!, debe ser de los más importantes de la zona, porque no se suelen dar tan intensos!!!

IMPRESIONANTE!!, 6.5 / 6.5 tiene!!!
"-cuando estábamos jugando yo y Kiko-.-el burro por delante-.-aaa, pase usted!- JAJAJAJAJAJA, amo el chavo!, ajajajaja

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Tincho
Mensajes: 1733
Registrado: Mié Ago 26, 2009 10:40 pm

Re: TC (GIRI) 04B

Mensajepor Tincho » Vie Oct 22, 2010 11:23 am

127 nudos!! y cuando se hizo este animalito que no sabia jeje
le les viene un feo dia en la india... muy bueno el informe mauricio!

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MAURICIO DE BRAGADO
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Re: TC (GIRI) 04B

Mensajepor MAURICIO DE BRAGADO » Vie Oct 22, 2010 11:33 am

RAFAGAS DE 305 KM/H!!!
Adjuntos
1.jpg
TC GIRI 04B 221020101200 TRAY JTWC.gif

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LisandroSc
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Re: TC (GIRI) 04B

Mensajepor LisandroSc » Vie Oct 22, 2010 12:43 pm

Se fortalecio tremendamente a pocos km de entrar en tierra, eso es lo peor que puede pasar con estos sistemas... muy peligroso.

Entro con fuerza casi de categoria 5!

135kts - 922mb

Imagen

Edito para dejer una imagen, antes de tocar tierra, en su mejor momento! IMPRESIONANTE! :o

Imagen
Meado por un Dinosaurio - Dios me odia! by Porra.

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Tincho
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Re: TC (GIRI) 04B

Mensajepor Tincho » Vie Oct 22, 2010 6:01 pm

nooo!!! impresionante 135 kts!!
que buena formacion del ojo :shock:

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LisandroSc
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Re: TC (GIRI) 04B

Mensajepor LisandroSc » Vie Oct 22, 2010 6:08 pm

Me encantan todos los huracanes en gral, pero me "gasto" en seguirlos en el foro los del atlantico y pacifico mas que nada, aunque este fue una bestia que me sorprendio por la fuerte intensificacion que tuvo.

Segun lei en meteored (no tenia con exactitud los datos), tuvo una caida de presion de 50hpa en 20hs y aumento 70kt los vientos en 14hs. Si eso no es intensificacion rapida... :mrgreen:

Lo que si, como comente antes, se comporto de la peor manera posible en la zona donde toco tierra, ya que se intensifico rapidamente justo sobre la costa y hasta que el centro no toco tierra seguia ganando intensidad y ampliando el campo de vientos.

Esperemos que no haya que lamentar muchas victimas, pero bueno... dificil!
Meado por un Dinosaurio - Dios me odia! by Porra.


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