Tiempo severo USA, semana del 07/06 al 13/06/2010

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matute_bow
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Registrado: Dom Jul 12, 2009 8:51 pm
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Re: Tiempo severo USA, semana del 07/06 al 11/06/2010

Mensaje por matute_bow »

Que bárbaro ir conduciendo y que te vayan acompañando tornaditos por todos lados :lol: :lol: :lol:
Que arriesgados que son!, hasta que uno de estos cazadores no quede colgado de un árbol no paran eh :lol: :lol: :lol:
Les dejo el video de la SC que puso ayer Gonza sobre Nebraska!

[youtube][/youtube]


Mas tarde vuelvo con lo que puede esperarse hoy!
"-cuando estábamos jugando yo y Kiko-.-el burro por delante-.-aaa, pase usted!- JAJAJAJAJAJA, amo el chavo!, ajajajaja
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matute_bow
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Registrado: Dom Jul 12, 2009 8:51 pm
Ubicación: Buenos Aires, Argentina

Re: Tiempo severo USA, semana del 07/06 al 11/06/2010

Mensaje por matute_bow »

Bueno, panorama complicado hoy en la zona, y se hace dificil saber a estas horas cuales van a ser las mejores zonas para la actividad vespertinas, ya que la misma esta plagada de mesosistemas que veremos como dejan el ambiente para la tarde!

Es el tercer mesosistema consecutivo que se forma en la noche, que manera de llover sobre la zona por favor!!!. Les dejo la discusión de hoy Martes!


Day 1 convective outlook
National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0100 am CDT Tuesday Jun 08 2010


Valid 081200z - 091200z


..there is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms from the Ohio/middle MS valleys westward
to the Central High plains...


...
Strong quasi-zonal middle-upper level flow will remain over the northern
half of the U.S. Through day 1. Upper trough...currently moving
through the northern rockies per water vapor imagery...is expected to
amplify today as it tracks eastward through the northern plains...phasing with
a shortwave trough shifting southeastward through central Canada along southern
periphery of vortex centered north of Hudson Bay. The amplified trough
should reach the upper MS valley and northern Ontario by 12z Wednesday.


In the low levels...a surface wave accompanying an mesoscale convective system over the middle
MO valley at 12z today will move eastward through southern Iowa/northern MO this
afternoon...and should reach Southern Lower Michigan by the end of the forecast
period. Cold front trailing southwestward from this low will spread eastward from
the Central Plains through the lower MO/middle MS valleys and into the
Ohio Valley tonight. The western extent of this boundary will shift southward
through Kansas toward northern OK and extend west-northwestward into the Front Range of
Colorado.


Farther north...primary surface low attendant to the northern plains/central
Canada trough should deepen some today as it tracks eastward from southern
Saskatchewan to northwestern Ontario by 12z Wednesday. A weak surface
trough trailing southward from this low will shift across the Dakotas
today to Minnesota Tuesday tonight.


..ern extent of Central Plains eastward to Ohio Valley...
At 12z today..an mesoscale convective system...potentially producing severe weather...is
expected to be ongoing across the middle MO valley. The eastward movement
of this complex toward the Midwest today and new thunderstorm development
along the trailing cold front and mesoscale convective system outflow boundary will be the
primary foci for the greatest concentration of severe weather this
forecast period.


A warm front extending southeastward through the lower MO/middle MS valleys at
12z today will move east-northeastward into the Ohio Valley as south-southwesterly low level
winds develop and increase across the warm sector... advecting
surface dewpoints in the upper 60s-lower 70s from eastern Kansas into the
lower Ohio Valley. Eastern extent of steep midlevel lapse rates plume is
forecast to reach east-northeastward across MO into Illinois by this afternoon. These
thermodynamic factors combined with surface heating will result in a
moderate to very unstable warm sector with MLCAPE ranging from
2000-3000 j/kg.


Thunderstorms should continue to develop along and ahead of the early
morning mesoscale convective system within a low level warm air advection regime along the nose of a 40 knots
southwesterly low level jet translating eastward across the lower MO valley to the
Midwest/southwestern Great Lakes region by this evening. Additional thunderstorm
development will be likely along and ahead of the cold front and
outflow boundary as they move into the unstable air mass. Strong
band of westerly midlevel winds extending from Nebraska to the Ohio Valley will
contribute to effective bulk shear sufficient for organized storms.
Greatest potential for tornadoes will be in the vicinity of the
surface low track and warm front where low level shear will be
maximized. Otherwise...given strength of southwesterly low level jet /40-45 kt/...
damaging wind gusts will be a threat as well...especially from eastern
Kansas through MO to Illinois and ind. Increasing southwesterly low level jet this evening may
increase the threat for damaging winds across the lower Ohio
Valley...with some potential for at least isolated severe reaching
central Ohio by 12z Wednesday.


..KS to parts of the central/southern High Plains...
Thunderstorms should develop southwestward along the cold front this afternoon as
strong surface heating and convergence along this boundary weaken
the cap. This region will reside along the southern extent of stronger
westerly flow with 20-25 knots of effective shear suggesting activity should
be multicellular.


Additional thunderstorm activity is expected this afternoon within the
upslope flow regime developing north of southward advancing front across Colorado.
Sufficient low level moisture and steep midlevel lapse rates
will result in moderate instability. This combined with some
increase in westerly midlevel winds will promote effective bulk shear of
40-50 knots supporting supercells. Hail and damaging winds will be the
primary threat. However...an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out.


Increasing Ely low level winds tonight suggest a thunderstorm complex may
track eastward into western Kansas with an attendant threat for hail and strong
wind gusts possible.


..ND/northestern South Dakota/northwestern Minnesota...
Steep midlevel lapse rates/cold temperatures aloft suggest a few
strong to severe storms will be possible this afternoon as the upper
trough shifts eastward across this region. Modest effective bulk shear
suggests multicells will be the primary storm Mode.
No tiene los permisos requeridos para ver los archivos adjuntos a este mensaje.
"-cuando estábamos jugando yo y Kiko-.-el burro por delante-.-aaa, pase usted!- JAJAJAJAJAJA, amo el chavo!, ajajajaja
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matute_bow
Mensajes: 14479
Registrado: Dom Jul 12, 2009 8:51 pm
Ubicación: Buenos Aires, Argentina

Re: Tiempo severo USA, semana del 07/06 al 11/06/2010

Mensaje por matute_bow »

Marrrrrrrrrrche el primer tornado watch para la zona

Hablan de casi 4000 de CAPE, que barbaridad, ajajajajaa :lol: :lol: . igual la cortante no es tan intensa, y esta alrededor de los 40/50 nudos en la capa 0/6 km

Veremos que pasa...

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 285
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
240 PM CDT TUE JUN 8 2010

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

EASTERN AND SOUTHERN KANSAS
WESTERN AND NORTHERN MISSOURI

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 240 PM UNTIL
900 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 5 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
CHILLICOTHE MISSOURI TO 65 MILES SOUTHEAST OF WICHITA KANSAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SHORTLY AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT THAT STRETCHED FROM NWRN MO SWWD INTO SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS. AIR
MASS HAS BECOME EXTREMELY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPES APPROACHING 4000
J/KG. THIS INSTABILITY PLUS EFFECTIVE SHEAR AT 40 KT WOULD FAVOR
INTENSE SUPERCELLS. WHILE LARGE HAIL INITIALLY WILL BE THE GREATEST
THREAT...THE VERY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER AND STRONG LOW LEVEL SHEAR
...ESPECIALLY NEAR OUTFLOW BOUNDARY LOCATED IN WRN MO/ERN KS...
WOULD SUPPORT TORNADOES. LATER THIS EVENING...THE STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO CONSOLIDATE INTO A LINEAR MCS...WITH WIND DAMAGE
EVENTUALLY BECOMING THE GREATER THREAT.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28025.
No tiene los permisos requeridos para ver los archivos adjuntos a este mensaje.
"-cuando estábamos jugando yo y Kiko-.-el burro por delante-.-aaa, pase usted!- JAJAJAJAJAJA, amo el chavo!, ajajajaja
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Gonza(Haedo)
Mensajes: 1183
Registrado: Sab Dic 05, 2009 12:29 am
Ubicación: Haedo-Prov.de Buenos Aires

Re: Tiempo severo USA, semana del 07/06 al 11/06/2010

Mensaje por Gonza(Haedo) »

Espectacular ese video matute!!..estos flacos siempre la sacan barata jajaja que grosos..igual el lugar donde sucede(Scottsbluff)es al oeste de Nebraska..y las imágenes de radar q había subido son mas en el centro de ese estado.

Bueno les dejo algo como resumen de lo q estuve mirando durante el día...(no hubo gran actividad).

Imágenes

Radar
Texas1.jpg
Texas2 north.jpg
Oklahoma1.jpg
Missouri1 warning.jpg
Missouri 2 rotation copy.jpg

Vis.Satelitales (animación)
Kansas 8-6-2010.gif
New mexico 8-6-2010.gif
Oklahoma 8-6-2010.gif

Resumen de reportes
Resume reports1.jpg
No tiene los permisos requeridos para ver los archivos adjuntos a este mensaje.
"It´s best to read the weather forecast before praying for rain"

Videos
http://www.youtube.com/user/GPtstorm?feature=mhum
Fotos
http://www.flickr.com/photos/gpstormargentina/sets/

Imagen
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Gonza(Haedo)
Mensajes: 1183
Registrado: Sab Dic 05, 2009 12:29 am
Ubicación: Haedo-Prov.de Buenos Aires

Re: Tiempo severo USA, semana del 07/06 al 11/06/2010

Mensaje por Gonza(Haedo) »

Este video fue en Illinois y Missouri ...junio 8/6

Me hizo acordar al video de la tormenta q persiguieron los storm chasers argentina por La Pampa alla por el 11/1...

http://www.stormhighway.com/blog/june810hdvideo.shtml
"It´s best to read the weather forecast before praying for rain"

Videos
http://www.youtube.com/user/GPtstorm?feature=mhum
Fotos
http://www.flickr.com/photos/gpstormargentina/sets/

Imagen
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davidstorm
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Registrado: Jue Jul 23, 2009 9:28 pm
Ubicación: Casilda Santa Fe

Re: Tiempo severo USA, semana del 07/06 al 11/06/2010

Mensaje por davidstorm »

Tornado Watch...

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URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 286
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
845 AM CDT WED JUN 9 2010

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHERN AND EASTERN TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 845 AM UNTIL
300 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES SOUTH OF NEW BRAUNFELS
TEXAS TO 60 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF LUFKIN TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...SCTD TSTMS HAVE FORMED ALONG WEAK WSW/ENE ORIENTED
FRONT ALONG THE MIDDLE AND UPR TX CSTL PLN...IN ERN QUADRANT OF
QSTNRY UPR LOW. 20-25 KT LOW LVL SSELY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
VERY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER AIR /DEWPOINTS IN THE UPR 70S/ NWD INTO
FRONTAL ZONE. COUPLED WITH SFC HEATING AND MODERATELY STRONG SW MID
LVL FLOW ATTENDANT TO UPR LOW...SETUP MAY SUPPORT A FEW STORMS WITH
LOW LVL ROTATION/TORNADOES AND/OR LOCALLY DMGG WIND THROUGH MID
AFTN.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 20025.
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matute_bow
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Ubicación: Buenos Aires, Argentina

Re: Tiempo severo USA, semana del 07/06 al 11/06/2010

Mensaje por matute_bow »

SON UNOS ANIMALITOS DE DIOS con ese tornado watch David, tienen ganas de mandar avisos al ped* se ve!

Ese sistema esta asociado con una baja de altura, muy pequeño, con 25 nudos en 500 hPa y ningún jet en altura asociado. Tiene un campo de humedad tremendo, con agua precipitable arriba de los 55 milímetros y tienen un jet de capas bajas de 25 nudos más o menos, como mucho

ME QUERES DECIR COMO ESTE AMBIENTE ES CONDUCENTE A TORNADOS???

Hace 4 horas que lo mandaron y no vi ni un solo indicio de severidad, más allá de algunas ráfagas que tienen los sistemas de tormentas, que tampoco son importantes!

Dejens* de joder por favorrrrrr :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
"-cuando estábamos jugando yo y Kiko-.-el burro por delante-.-aaa, pase usted!- JAJAJAJAJAJA, amo el chavo!, ajajajaja
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davidstorm
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Re: Tiempo severo USA, semana del 07/06 al 11/06/2010

Mensaje por davidstorm »

Bueno ... vamos con este enconces jjejejeje....

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URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 288
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
240 PM MDT WED JUN 9 2010

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

NORTHEASTERN COLORADO
EXTREME NORTHWESTERN KANSAS
WESTERN NEBRASKA
SOUTHEASTERN WYOMING

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 240 PM UNTIL
900 PM MDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
ALLIANCE NEBRASKA TO 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LIMON COLORADO. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 286...WW 287...

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED FROM WESTERN NEB
SWWD INTO THE NRN CO MOUNTAINS. VERY MOIST UPSLOPE FLOW...WITH
DEWPOINTS NEAR 60F TO NEAR THE FOOTHILLS...SHOULD BE FAVORABLE FOR
MORE STORMS FORMING THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. THE COMBINATION OF
MODERATE INSTABILITY AND EFFECTIVE SHEAR NEAR 50 KT WILL BE
FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS WITH VERY LARGE HAIL. TORNADOES ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS WRN NEB WHERE BOUNDARY LAYER RH VALUES
ARE HIGHER AND LOW LEVEL SHEAR IS MAXIMIZED. ALSO...ANY STORMS THAT
TURN SEWD WOULD INGEST GREATER SRH AND POSSESS A POTENTIAL FOR A
TORNADO.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28020.
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matute_bow
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Registrado: Dom Jul 12, 2009 8:51 pm
Ubicación: Buenos Aires, Argentina

Re: Tiempo severo USA, semana del 07/06 al 11/06/2010

Mensaje por matute_bow »

Che, tenía una duda hoy, hay un sistema convectivo en las planicies de estados Unidos????
jojojojojoj :lol: :lol: :shock: :shock: :shock: :shock: :shock:
No tiene los permisos requeridos para ver los archivos adjuntos a este mensaje.
"-cuando estábamos jugando yo y Kiko-.-el burro por delante-.-aaa, pase usted!- JAJAJAJAJAJA, amo el chavo!, ajajajaja
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davidstorm
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Re: Tiempo severo USA, semana del 07/06 al 11/06/2010

Mensaje por davidstorm »

Tremendo matute!!!!! :P

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Riesgo moderado pa hoy :D :D :D :D

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DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0800 AM CDT THU JUN 10 2010

VALID 101300Z - 111200Z

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF NEB...NE CO...AND
NW KS...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE CNTRL HI PLNS ENE INTO
THE UPR MS VLY...

...SYNOPSIS...
PATTERN WILL FURTHER AMPLIFY THIS PERIOD AS PACIFIC NW TROUGH
DEEPENS SE INTO THE GRT BASIN...AND DOWNSTREAM RIDGE EXPANDS NE
ACROSS THE UPR MS VLY/UPR GRT LKS. AT THE SAME TIME...NE TX CLOSED
LOW EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SLOWLY NE INTO AR AS UPSTREAM DISTURBANCE
NOW OVER SONORA MOVES TOWARD THE TX BIG BEND.

AT THE SFC...LARGE...LOOSELY-ORGANIZED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE NOW OVER
THE HI PLNS SHOULD CONSOLIDATE INTO A MAIN CENTER OVER ERN CO BY
THIS EVE. THE LOW WILL EDGE E/NE INTO NRN KS TONIGHT/EARLY
FRI...AND BECOME ELONGATED ROUGHLY PARALLEL TO THE SWLY FLOW ALOFT.
DIFFUSE WARM FRONT EXTENDING E/SE FROM THE LOW WILL ADVANCE SLOWLY
NE ACROSS THE LWR MO VLY...WHILE A SHALLOW COOL FRONT EVOLVES NW OF
THE LOW TONIGHT/EARLY FRI.

...CNTRL HI PLNS INTO THE UPR MS VLY TODAY THROUGH EARLY FRI...
STRONGEST PORTION OF NEB BOWING MCS AND ASSOCIATED WAA STORMS SHOULD
CONTINUE GENERALLY ESE ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE STATE AND INTO
WRN IA THROUGH MID/LATE MORNING /REF WW 291/. THE SYSTEM SHOULD
SLOWLY WEAKEN...ALTHOUGH PERHAPS NOT AS FAST AS SOME NOCTURNAL
SYSTEMS GIVEN BREADTH OF LLJ AND TENDENCY FOR MOISTURE RETURN TO
KEEP PACE WITH ADVECTIVE COMPONENT OF MCS MOTION.

LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT...THE SVR THREAT WILL ONCE AGAIN FOCUS OVER
THE CNTRL HI PLNS...WHERE VERY MOIST AIR /PW 1.50-1.75 INCHES AND
SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE MID TO UPR 60S F/ WILL RESIDE N AND E OF QSTNRY
SFC LOW. WEAK UPSLOPE FLOW...EXISTING MOISTURE...AND SFC HEATING
SHOULD SUPPORT STRONG STORM DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NRN CO AND ERN WY
MOUNTAINS BY 20-21Z...BENEATH 40-50 KT SW MID LVL FLOW. THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD QUICKLY EVOLVE INTO SUPERCELLS THAT MOVE/DEVELOP E
INTO THE INCREASINGLY STRONG/MOIST LOW LVL ELY FLOW N OF SFC
LOW...AIDED BY GLANCING INFLUENCE OF LOW AMPLITUDE DISTURBANCE NOW
APPARENT IN WV IMAGERY NEARING KSLC.

GIVEN THE DISCRETE NATURE OF THE STORMS...DEEP EML...AND RICH
MOISTURE...THIS ACTIVITY LIKELY WILL PRODUCE VERY LARGE HAIL.
AND...GIVEN CONSIDERABLE LOW LVL DIRECTIONAL SHEAR...TORNADOES ALSO
APPEAR LIKELY...WITH PERHAPS A STRONG ONE AFTER DARK. ATTM...THIS
THREAT APPEARS MOST LIKELY FROM FAR NE CO /INVOF THE CHEYENNE RIDGE/
E INTO SRN PARTS OF THE NEB PANHANDLE/SW NEB...WHERE COMBINATION OF
MOST FAVORABLE STORM MODE AND THERMODYNAMIC/WIND ENVIRONMENT SHOULD
EXIST.

THE TSTMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN AND INCREASE IN NUMBER THIS
EVE AS THEY MOVE/DEVELOP E OR ENE INTO NOCTURNALLY-STRENGTHENED
40-50 KT LLJ. THIS SHOULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF ANOTHER
OVERNIGHT MCS. EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS AND BOWING STRUCTURES WILL
EXTEND THE SVR THREAT ENE ACROSS THE NWRN HALF OF NEB...SE
SD...AND...BY EARLY FRI...SRN MN.

...SW KS TO SW TX LATE AFTN/EARLY EVE...
FARTHER S...STRONG HEATING AND WEAK UPLIFT ALONG LEE TROUGH/ DRYLINE
MAY SUPPORT WDLY SCTD TSTM DEVELOPMENT BY 22Z OVER THE SRN HALF OF
THE HI PLNS...DESPITE STOUT EML. POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT MAY BE
ENHANCED BY TERRAIN CIRCULATIONS NEAR THE MEXICAN BORDER. STRONG
INSTABILITY /SBCAPE UP TO 4000 J PER KG/ WILL BE PRESENT. ALTHOUGH
DEEP SHEAR WILL DECREASE WITH SWD EXTENT...MID LVL FLOW WILL
INCREASE TO AT LEAST 20-25 KTS AS FAR S AS THE NRN TX PANHANDLE AS
THE WRN U.S. TROUGH EDGES EWD. THIS SETUP SHOULD FAVOR SLOWLY-MOVING
MULTICELLS AND SUPERCELLS WITH A THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY
DMGG WINDS. MOST OF THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET.

...FAR E TX INTO LWR MS VLY...
SLOWLY NEWD MOVEMENT OF TX UPR LOW...AND SFC HEATING...SHOULD ONCE
AGAIN SUPPORT A DIURNAL BLOSSOMING OF SFC-BASED STORMS E AND NE OF
THE LOW. CONTINUING PRESENCE OF RICH BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE...HIGH
PW...AND MODEST SWLY MID LVL FLOW...TOGETHER SUGGEST THAT STORMS
COULD ASSUME WEAK ORGANIZATION INTO BANDS. SMALL AMPLITUDE BOWS IN
THIS ACTIVITY COULD YIELD LOCALLY DMGG WIND...MAINLY THIS AFTN WHEN
STORM COVERAGE WILL BE GREATEST.

..CORFIDI/STOPPKOTTE.. 06/10/2010
Última edición por davidstorm el Jue Jun 10, 2010 12:01 pm, editado 1 vez en total.
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