Evento severo fuerte USA 03-04/04/2011

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matute_bow
Mensajes: 14479
Registrado: Dom Jul 12, 2009 8:51 pm
Ubicación: Buenos Aires, Argentina

Evento severo fuerte USA 03-04/04/2011

Mensaje por matute_bow »

Hola gente, voy a dejar abierto este tópico porque entre hoy y mañana se van a dar tormentas severas muy fuertes, con tornados, en la zona central de Estados Unidos, y lo podemos ir siguiendo más tarde por aca!

Les dejo la última información de la mañana :D

VALID 031300Z - 041200Z

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT OVER
PARTS OF ERN KS AND WRN INTO NRN MO...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM PORTIONS OF THE UPPER
GREAT LAKES TO SOUTHERN PLAINS...

...SYNOPSIS...

ELONGATED VORTICITY LOBE NOW OVER THE NRN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION WILL
PROGRESS EWD THROUGH THE NRN PLAINS INTO UPPER MS VALLEY BY MONDAY
MORNING. A MORE INTENSE VORTICITY MAXIMUM DIGGING SEWD THROUGH THE
GREAT BASIN WILL CONCURRENTLY TRANSLATE SEWD...REACHING THE SRN HIGH
PLAINS BY 04/12Z. THESE TWO SEPARATE IMPULSES WILL REMAIN
PHASED...COMPRISING A LARGE-SCALE TROUGH WHICH WILL UNDERGO
CONSIDERABLE DEEPENING/AMPLIFICATION WHILE MOVING INTO THE CNTRL
CONUS.

AT THE SURFACE...INITIAL SURFACE LOW OVER SERN SD/NERN NEB WILL
DEEPEN SLIGHTLY WHILE DEVELOPING ENEWD TO NERN IA/SWRN WI BY
04/00Z...AND NRN OR CNTRL LOWER MI BY THE END OF THE D1 PERIOD.
ASSOCIATED WARM FRONTOGENESIS IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER PORTIONS OF
ERN IA INTO IL/IND WITH THIS INTENSIFYING BOUNDARY GRADUALLY LIFTING
NWD THROUGH PORTIONS OF THE UPPER GREAT LAKES.

MEANWHILE...TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL ADVANCE SEWD FROM THE NRN INTO
CNTRL PLAINS...AND BY LATE AFTERNOON...WILL LIKELY EXTEND FROM THE
ABOVE-MENTIONED SURFACE LOW SWWD THROUGH NRN MO TO A SECONDARY
SURFACE LOW DEVELOPING OVER CNTRL KS. A DRYLINE WILL LINK WITH COLD
FRONT AT SECONDARY CYCLONE...EXTENDING SSWWD AND LIKELY MIXING TO
NEAR THE U.S. 81 CORRIDOR OF CNTRL OK/NWRN TX BY 03/21Z. THE COLD
FRONT WILL PROGRESSIVELY OVERTAKE THE DRYLINE AS IT SURGES SEWD INTO
THE SRN PLAINS AND OZARK PLATEAU REGION TONIGHT.

...UPPER MIDWEST INTO SRN PLAINS...

SATELLITE-DERIVED PW IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THE
RAPID NWD ADVECTION OF AN INCREASINGLY MOIST AIR MASS THROUGH THE
SRN AND CNTRL PLAINS INTO THE MID/LOWER MO VALLEY...A PROCESS THAT
IS BEING ENHANCED BY A 50-60+ KT SWLY LLJ. BY LATE AFTERNOON...
EXPECT A SWATH OF LOWER 60S BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS TO EXTEND FROM
E OF THE DRYLINE IN TX/OK THROUGH ERN KS...WRN/NRN MO TO VICINITY OF
RETREATING WARM FRONT OVER ERN IA/WRN IL. THIS MOISTURE RETURN WILL
OCCUR BENEATH AN EML /AS SAMPLED BY 12Z PLAINS SOUNDINGS/
CHARACTERIZED BY MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES OF 8-9 C/KM. THESE LAPSE
RATES COUPLED WITH THE INCREASING MOISTURE CONTENT AND DAYTIME
HEATING ARE EXPECTED TO YIELD A MODERATELY TO STRONGLY UNSTABLE WARM
SECTOR BY AFTERNOON. MLCAPE VALUES SHOULD RANGE FROM 1000-1500 J/KG
NEAR LEAD SURFACE LOW AND WARM FRONT OVER THE MIDWEST...TO AS HIGH
AS 2000-3000+ J/KG AHEAD OF COLD FRONT WITHIN THE MODERATE RISK
AREA.

ASIDE FROM CLUSTERS OF ELEVATED STORMS WHICH ARE EXPECTED TO FORM
AND POSE A MARGINAL HAIL THREAT ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE UPPER
MIDWEST/UPPER GREAT LAKES TODAY...A STRONG CAP AT THE BASE OF THE
EML WILL LIKELY DELAY SURFACE-BASED STORM DEVELOPMENT UNTIL LATE
THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING. A CONSENSUS OF CONVECTION-ALLOWING AND
MESOSCALE MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT INITIAL STORM DEVELOPMENT IN
THE WARM SECTOR WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 03/21Z-04/00Z ALONG SEGMENT OF
COLD FRONT OVER NRN MO INTO NERN KS.

THE POSITIVELY-TILTED CONFIGURATION OF THE LARGE-SCALE TROUGH WILL
RESULT IN VEERED LOW-LEVEL WINDS...EXCEPT INVOF SURFACE CYCLONES
WHERE ISALLOBARIC FORCING MAY ENHANCE SOME BACKING OF THE LOCAL FLOW
FIELD. NONETHELESS...FORECAST HODOGRAPHS SHOW 40-50 KT OF DEEP
WSWLY SHEAR WHICH WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS WITHIN THE FIRST
ONE TO TWO HOURS OF STORM INITIATION. LARGE HAIL /SOME POTENTIALLY
DESTRUCTIVE/ WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARD WITH THE INITIAL STORM
DEVELOPMENT.

TONIGHT...THE COMBINATION OF SURGING COLD FRONT AND LARGELY PARALLEL
ORIENTATION OF DEEP-LAYER SHEAR VECTORS TO THE FRONT SHOULD FOSTER
THE UPSCALE GROWTH OF TSTMS TO LINE SEGMENTS OR A CONTINUOUS BAND
FROM VICINITY OF LEAD SURFACE LOW AND WARM FRONT OVER SRN WI/NRN IL
SWWD THROUGH THE MID MS VALLEY INTO OZARK PLATEAU. THE GREATEST
THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL EXIST WITH ANY EMBEDDED SUPERCELL AND/OR
BOWING STRUCTURES THAT CAN EVOLVE NEAR THE SURFACE LOW TRACK FROM
NERN MO INTO NRN IL WHERE NEAR-GROUND SHEAR WILL BE ENHANCED.
OTHERWISE...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND SOME HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY
HAZARDS WITH QLCS INTO MONDAY MORNING.
No tiene los permisos requeridos para ver los archivos adjuntos a este mensaje.
"-cuando estábamos jugando yo y Kiko-.-el burro por delante-.-aaa, pase usted!- JAJAJAJAJAJA, amo el chavo!, ajajajaja
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Lucas de Zárate
Mensajes: 7592
Registrado: Lun Jul 13, 2009 8:38 pm
Ubicación: Zárate, Bs As

Re: Evento severo fuerte USA 03-04/04/2011

Mensaje por Lucas de Zárate »

me parece a mi o no hubo nada hoy ?
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matute_bow
Mensajes: 14479
Registrado: Dom Jul 12, 2009 8:51 pm
Ubicación: Buenos Aires, Argentina

Re: Evento severo fuerte USA 03-04/04/2011

Mensaje por matute_bow »

Uno se pone contento por lo que acaba de ver en Argentina, y mira para Estados Unidos y en una simple imagen de radar se encuentra con 3 MEGAS superceldas PERFECTAS!

dejame de jod**************rrrrrrrr :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :evil: :evil: :evil:
No tiene los permisos requeridos para ver los archivos adjuntos a este mensaje.
"-cuando estábamos jugando yo y Kiko-.-el burro por delante-.-aaa, pase usted!- JAJAJAJAJAJA, amo el chavo!, ajajajaja
Avatar de Usuario
Lucas de Zárate
Mensajes: 7592
Registrado: Lun Jul 13, 2009 8:38 pm
Ubicación: Zárate, Bs As

Re: Evento severo fuerte USA 03-04/04/2011

Mensaje por Lucas de Zárate »

tremendas !!

estan como nosostros que se les formo todo de noche, una lastima

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