Super Tifon Songda

[Tincho]

noo miren lo que encontre, bien organizado el sistema


esto es lo que pusieron en cazatormentas.net
Al mediodía de hoy en hora española peninsular (alrededor de las 12 UTC), el supertifón SONGDA alcanzaba la categoría 5, la máxima en la escala de Saffir Simpson, con vientos sostenidos superiores a los 250 km/h (140 nudos), y una presión mínima estimada en su centro de 910,7 hPa. convirtiéndose en un monstruoso ciclón tropical.

Este coloso meteorológico también tiene otro nombre, el que le ha asignado la agencia meteorológica del archipiélago filipino (PAGASA): se trata de CHEDENG. Se encuentra frente a la gran Isla de Luzón, perteneciente al archipiélago filipino.
Afortunadamente, sólo está rozando el extremo oriental de la isla, quedando este sector lejos de los vientos más intensos generados por el supertifón, que quedan justo en la pared del ojo.
Su trayectoria le va a llevar lejos de las islas del archipiélago, y también pasará lejos de Taiwán, antes de seguir camino hacia aguas abiertas del Pacífico Noroeste. Sin embargo, Japón deberá seguir con atención su evolución, a pesar de que, probablemente, en su camino hacia este país, ya haya iniciado una transición extratropical.



esta es la evolucion que tubo, impresionante
Time Lat Lon Wind(mph) Storm type

-------------------------------------------------------------
06 GMT 05/20/11 8.3N 141.9E 35 Tropical Depression
12 GMT 05/20/11 8.5N 141.0E 40 Tropical Storm
18 GMT 05/20/11 9.2N 139.0E 40 Tropical Storm
00 GMT 05/21/11 8.9N 138.5E 35 Tropical Depression
06 GMT 05/21/11 8.9N 138.2E 35 Tropical Depression
12 GMT 05/21/11 9.2N 137.7E 40 Tropical Storm
18 GMT 05/21/11 9.8N 137.2E 40 Tropical Storm
00 GMT 05/22/11 9.9N 136.8E 50 Tropical Storm
06 GMT 05/22/11 10.0N 136.4E 50 Tropical Storm
12 GMT 05/22/11 10.3N 135.9E 65 Tropical Storm
18 GMT 05/22/11 10.6N 135.0E 65 Tropical Storm
00 GMT 05/23/11 10.9N 133.9E 70 Tropical Storm
06 GMT 05/23/11 11.2N 132.9E 70 Tropical Storm
12 GMT 05/23/11 11.5N 131.8E 70 Tropical Storm
18 GMT 05/23/11 11.6N 131.4E 65 Tropical Storm
00 GMT 05/24/11 12.0N 130.9E 65 Tropical Storm
06 GMT 05/24/11 12.4N 130.2E 70 Tropical Storm
12 GMT 05/24/11 12.6N 129.3E 75 Category 1
18 GMT 05/24/11 12.3N 128.5E 85 Category 1
00 GMT 05/25/11 12.4N 128.1E 105 Category 2
06 GMT 05/25/11 12.7N 127.8E 120 Category 3
12 GMT 05/25/11 13.1N 127.4E 120 Category 3
18 GMT 05/25/11 13.8N 127.2E 135 Category 4
00 GMT 05/26/11 14.6N 126.6E 135 Category 4
06 GMT 05/26/11 15.6N 125.7E 150 Category 4
12 GMT 05/26/11 16.2N 125.1E 160 Category 5
impresionante toda esta informacion! quiero ver esto en la carrera ya!!

[arielmich]

Que COLOSAL que es Songda Dios!! Esta bordeando al norte del las costas de las Filipinas

[Tincho]

Mortal!... no se puede creer esto, muy buena la imagen ari

[PaoCorrales]

okok retiro lo dicho, esta genial, si voy mañana

[Cristofer]

nooooo, mortal!
de que pagina sacaste la imagen?
es increible!

Google earth!

[Tincho]

nooooo, mortal!
de que pagina sacaste la imagen?
es increible!

Google earth!

mira vos, no sabia que podias ver los fenomenos meteorologicos con el google earth jeje, pero tiene alguna aplicacion?..

...continuando el tema, el tifon songda ha empezado a disminuir sus vientos, y paso a categoria 4 y se va acercando a las costas de japon
esta es la discucion:
Typhoon (TY) 04w (Songda), located approximately 240 nm south-
southwest of ishigakijima, Japan, has tracked north-northwestward at
11 knots over the past six hours. Animated infrared satellite
imagery shows weakening central convection (warming cloud tops)
surrounding a 12 nm diameter symmetric eye. Recent microwave imagery
(270908z, 271027z, and 271146z ssmis) depict remnants of a decaying
inner eye-wall and a formative outer eye-wall. There is high
confidence in the current position and motion based on the 271146z
ssmis microwave image and 27/1132z pgtw eye fix. The current
intensity is based on Dvorak estimates ranging from 115 to 127 knots
from pgtw, knes, and rjtd, as well as 27/11z UW-CIMSS satellite
consensus estimate of 127 knots. Having crossed 20 degrees north,
ocean heat content has dropped off considerably and sea surface
temperatures are becoming less favorable. Upper level analysis
indicates that the system has started to encounter increasing (15-20
knots) southwesterly vertical wind shear, but still remains in a
highly diffluent upper level environment. Animated water vapor
imagery shows strong poleward (ahead of the approaching mid-latitude
trough) and equatorward outflow. However, the same mid-latitude
trough digging to the west of the system is inhibiting outflow along
the western quadrant, while a developing tropical upper tropospheric
trough (tutt) cell to the east of the system is inhibiting outflow
along the eastern quadrant.
3. Forecast reasoning.
A. There are no significant forecast philosophy changes from the
previous prognostic reasoning bulletin.
B. TY 04w is currently tracking along the western periphery of a
deep-layered sub-tropical steering ridge and is forecast to turn
increasingly poleward within the next 12 hours, before accelerating
and becoming absorbed into the mid-latitude westerly flow by tau 72.
The system is forecast to steadily weaken, as it encounters
increasingly unfavorable environmental conditions, before
transitioning into a strong gale to storm force low by the end of
the forecast period. Available numerical model guidance is in
excellent agreement through tau 24, but begins to diverge as the
system approaches Mainland Japan. NOGAPS, GFDN, GFS, and WBAR
indicate a track over southern Kyushu and then sharply turn the
system eastward across the southern coast of honshu. EGRR and JGSM
indicate a sharper turn to the east-northeast after tau 24 and track
the system south of Japan. To account for known model error in a re-
curve type scenario, the jtwc forecast favors a track inside and
slightly faster than model consensus, which over the past 24 hours,
has locked in on a track that barely skirts the southern coasts of
Kyushu, shikoku, and honshu.

esta es la imagen del desarrollo hasta hoy.. bastante interesante

[Cristofer]

nooooo, mortal!
de que pagina sacaste la imagen?
es increible!

Google earth!

mira vos, no sabia que podias ver los fenomenos meteorologicos con el google earth jeje, pero tiene alguna aplicacion?..

En las pestañas que tiene al costado, elegis la que dice TIEMPO y tiene el icono de un sol, ahi marcas la pestaña que dice NUBES y listo, te aparece la nubosidad en todo el planeta

[tchmotors]

acá esta la MODIS

[Tincho]

nooo que buena imagen modis!!
tremendo

[Tincho]

asi como rapido vino, rapido se fue.. ahora es una tormenta tropical nuevamente creo que este es el ultimo reporte antes que desaparezca
Tropical Storm (TS) 04w (Songda), located approximately 490 nm
west-southwest of yokosuka, Japan, has tracked northeastward at
30 knots over the past six hours as it gets absorbed into the
baroclinic zone. Animated multispectral satellite imagery shows the
low level circulation center has become fully exposed, trailing
behind the central convection that has significantly decoupled
northeastward due to strong southwesterly vertical wind shear. The
initial position is based on the above animation with high
confidence and the initial intensity is extrapolated from nearby
ship observations and surface reports along the coast of Kyushu.
Dvorak estimates have become unrepresentative due to the displaced
cloud signature. Upper level analysis indicates the mid-latitude
trough that approached from the west has picked up the system and
eroded its vertical structure. This is evident on water vapor
satellite imagery.
3. Forecast reasoning.
A. There are no changes to the forecast philosophy.
B. Ts Songda will continue to accelerate northeastward just
offshore from Mainland Japan before deflecting eastward by tau 12,
becoming fullly extratropical by tau 24. The remnant baroclinic low,
however, will remain mostly intact and may even regenerate some
convection as jet level support persists. The available numerical
guidance are in overall good agreement but continues to indicate
landfall, this time briefly just south of Kyoto. This track forecast
remains south of and faster than consensus to account for both the
tropographical slowdown and for known model tendencies during
recurvature scenarios.//


fue bueno mietras duro