Nace la primera depresión tropical de este 2015 en la zona del Pacífico este.
Relatively low shear and warmer-than-normal sea surface temperatures
should support intensification during the next 3 days or so.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 28/0900Z 11.0N 110.4W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 28/1800Z 11.7N 111.5W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 29/0600Z 12.6N 112.8W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 29/1800Z 13.4N 113.5W 60 KT 70 MPH
48H 30/0600Z 14.2N 114.0W 70 KT 80 MPH
72H 31/0600Z 16.0N 115.0W
80 KT 90 MPH
96H 01/0600Z 17.5N 116.0W 70 KT 80 MPH
120H 02/0600Z 19.0N 117.0W 60 KT 70 MPH
$$
Forecaster Berg
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL SURFACE LOW HAS QUICKLY
BECOME ORGANIZED AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E HAS FORMED NEAR
11.0N 110.4W AT 0900 UTC MAY 28 WITH A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE
OF 1005 MB. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 13 KT.
NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY OBSERVED WITHIN 30 NM OF
THE CENTER...AND ALONG A BAND W OF THE CENTER WITHIN 90 NM
EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12N112W TO 11N113W. SCATTERED STRONG
CONVECTION IS NOTED ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A
LINE FROM 15N107W TO 10N115W...AND WITHIN 290 NM OF CENTER OVER
THE SE QUADRANT.
THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST STRENGTHEN TO A
TROPICAL STORM NEAR 11.7N 111.5W TODAY AT 29/1800 UTC...THEN
GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN TO A HURRICANE NEAR 14.2N 114.0W FRI NIGHT
AT 30/0600 UTC. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO TRACK S OF A MID
TO UPPER RIDGE FOR A COUPLE OF DAYS...
