llegando a 3 
4 
en breveSe mueve hacia Baja California, pero ahí llegaría categoría 1 o tormenta tropical apenas.
Huracán Blanca
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meteoro
Huracán Blanca
2° de la temporada y 2° categoría 2 ahora llegando a 3 4 en breve
Se mueve hacia Baja California, pero ahí llegaría categoría 1 o tormenta tropical apenas.
llegando a 3 4 en breveSe mueve hacia Baja California, pero ahí llegaría categoría 1 o tormenta tropical apenas.
No tiene los permisos requeridos para ver los archivos adjuntos a este mensaje.
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MarianoStorm
Re: Huracán Blanca Cat. 4 (Baja California - México)
Arde el Pacífico Este! 120kts y 945mb! Pico de 140kts para mañana. ¿Logrará conseguir esa meta? Si es así, primer Cat 5 desde Celia en 2010.
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Seba
- Mensajes: 17838
- Registrado: Mié Jul 15, 2009 3:31 pm
- Ubicación: Belgrano R, CABA
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Cristofer
- Mensajes: 11363
- Registrado: Vie Oct 02, 2009 12:50 am
- Ubicación: Aguilares- Tucuman
Re: Huracán Blanca
Tremendo bichito... y casi no se desplaza!!
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MarianoStorm
Re: Huracán Blanca
Breve repaso: Al final BLANCA no alcanzo la Cat 5 (solo llego hasta 120kts). Como consecuencia de no moverse, sufrió un upwelling y se degrado muy rápido hasta casi perder la categoría de huracán. A la vez, atravesó un ERC lo que contribuyo a su debilitamiento. Ahora posee solamente 80kts y 975mb y solo le quedan unas pocas horas de condiciones favorables. No lo refuerzan más haya de lo que esta ahora, pero no sé, me da que puede pegar otro salto y sorprendernos. Por ejemplo, dejo lo que ADT dice..
UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 8.2.1
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm
----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 05 JUN 2015 Time : 221500 UTC
Lat : 15:40:52 N Lon : 108:06:16 W
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
6.3 / 937.4mb/122.2kt
Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
6.3 6.7 6.7
Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 21 km
Center Temp : -11.5C Cloud Region Temp : -73.9C
Última discusión del NHC:
000
WTPZ32 KNHC 052039
TCPEP2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE BLANCA ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022015
300 PM MDT FRI JUN 05 2015
...AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE FINDS BLANCA WITH 90-MPH
WINDS...
SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.3N 107.5W
ABOUT 330 MI...535 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 550 MI...880 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB...28.82 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
The Government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for the
southern Baja California peninsula from La Paz to Santa Fe,
including Cabo San Lucas.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* La Paz to Santa Fe, Mexico, including Cabo San Lucas
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Blanca was located
near latitude 15.3 North, longitude 107.5 West. Blanca is moving
toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A gradual turn to the
north-northwest is expected on Saturday. On the forecast track, the
center of Blanca will approach the southern Baja California
peninsula on Sunday.
Data from an Air Force reconnaissance plane indicate that the
maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher
gusts. No significant change in strength is forecast during the
next 24 hours, but Blanca should begin to weaken on Sunday as it
approaches the Baja California peninsula.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
center, and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 200
miles (325 km).
The minimum central pressure recently reported by the reconnaissance
plane was 976 mb (28.82 inches).
$$
Forecaster Avila
Saludos!
UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 8.2.1
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm
----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 05 JUN 2015 Time : 221500 UTC
Lat : 15:40:52 N Lon : 108:06:16 W
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
6.3 / 937.4mb/122.2kt
Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
6.3 6.7 6.7
Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 21 km
Center Temp : -11.5C Cloud Region Temp : -73.9C
Última discusión del NHC:
000
WTPZ32 KNHC 052039
TCPEP2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE BLANCA ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022015
300 PM MDT FRI JUN 05 2015
...AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE FINDS BLANCA WITH 90-MPH
WINDS...
SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.3N 107.5W
ABOUT 330 MI...535 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 550 MI...880 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB...28.82 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
The Government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for the
southern Baja California peninsula from La Paz to Santa Fe,
including Cabo San Lucas.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* La Paz to Santa Fe, Mexico, including Cabo San Lucas
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Blanca was located
near latitude 15.3 North, longitude 107.5 West. Blanca is moving
toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A gradual turn to the
north-northwest is expected on Saturday. On the forecast track, the
center of Blanca will approach the southern Baja California
peninsula on Sunday.
Data from an Air Force reconnaissance plane indicate that the
maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher
gusts. No significant change in strength is forecast during the
next 24 hours, but Blanca should begin to weaken on Sunday as it
approaches the Baja California peninsula.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
center, and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 200
miles (325 km).
The minimum central pressure recently reported by the reconnaissance
plane was 976 mb (28.82 inches).
$$
Forecaster Avila
Saludos!
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MarianoStorm
Re: Huracán Blanca
Sube a Cat. 4 nuevamente con 115kts y 943mb. Bastante potable se la ve a BLANCA por ahora.. vamos a ver si pega un repunte y sube a la máxima categoría. 
ADT explotó y se fue al carajo!!
----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 06 JUN 2015 Time : 124500 UTC
Lat : 17:15:14 N Lon : 109:17:47 W
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
7.4 / 907.4mb/152.0kt
OBVIAMENTE está sobrestimando la intensidad del ciclón, si tuviera esa intensidad...
ADT explotó y se fue al carajo!!
----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 06 JUN 2015 Time : 124500 UTC
Lat : 17:15:14 N Lon : 109:17:47 W
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
7.4 / 907.4mb/152.0kt
OBVIAMENTE está sobrestimando la intensidad del ciclón, si tuviera esa intensidad...
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MarianoStorm
Re: Huracán Blanca
Como se nota el upwelling en la imagen. Esta fue la causante de que BLANCA no llegara a la categoría 5 y que bajara de 120kts a 80kts en menos de 12 horas.
Ahora se mantiene en 105kts y 952mb.
Dejo animación de su evolución de Cat. 1 a cat.4 en menos de.. 24hs!
Ahora se mantiene en 105kts y 952mb.
Dejo animación de su evolución de Cat. 1 a cat.4 en menos de.. 24hs!
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MarianoStorm
Re: Huracán Blanca
Bye bye Blanca. 
Foto en el momento de su intensidad máxima (primer pico).
Foto en el momento de su intensidad máxima (primer pico).