Huracán Paulette (Categoría 2)

[Wyoming]

Hermosa, finalmente se le está dando.
Hay un avión investigando el sistema pero de momento no encontró ningún cambio. Veremos qué dice en la(s) siguiente(s) pasada(s).

El ojo es enorme

[Santiago Linari]

Paulette ya se puede ver en el radar de Bermuda
Salen como imágenes individuales





Está rodeada de aire seco. Pero creo que finalmente pudo cerrar la pared del ojo.

[maatii96]

Paulette fue actualizada a la categoria 2 esta mañana, con 85 kt y 970 hPa.

[Wyoming]

... Bermuda en el ojo de Paulette. Al final se disparó más al oeste.
Hermosa imagen

[maatii96]

Paulette acelera hacia el este-noreste mientras comienza su proceso de extratropicalización, con una intensidad de 85 kt y 970 hPa. No llegó a major y no se espera que lo haga. Pronto empezará a debilitarse más rápido a medida que se vaya adentrando en SSTs de hasta 20 grados.

[maatii96]

Paulette es extratropical... por ahora?

...PAULETTE BECOMES A STRONG EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NORTH
ATLANTIC...
...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...43.3N 45.2W
ABOUT 450 MI...725 KM ESE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 35 MPH...56 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...973 MB...28.74 INCHES

The NHC intensity forecast is based on a blend of the global models
and is just above the HCCA multi-model consensus. Although not
specified in the NHC forecast, there is some chance that Paulette
could reacquire tropical or subtropical characteristics later this
week or over the weekend when it turns southward back over warmer
oceanic temperatures. This possibility will be monitored for
inclusion in future Tropical Weather Outlooks, if necessary.

[Santiago Linari]

Satelital que incluye a Paulette versión extratropical. Empieza a girar hacia el sur movido por la baja presión que tiene al este y que a su vez es el Invest 99L





Por ahora el NHC no la menciona como un sistema con posible desarrollo subtropical o tropical. Capaz lo hagan más tarde.

[Santiago Linari]

1. Post-tropical cyclone Paulette is located a few hundred miles
northwest of the Azores. The cyclone is forecast to move quickly
southward for the next couple of days and then stall over marginally
warm waters a few hundred miles south or south-southwest of the
Azores by the end of the weekend. The cyclone could subsequently
redevelop tropical characteristics late this weekend or early next
week while it moves little. For more information about marine
hazards associated with this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued
by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

[maatii96]

Se incrementan las chances de que Paulette tenga una parte dos.

Shower activity has increased a little today in association with
Post-Tropical Cyclone Paulette, which is is moving southward a few
hundred miles southwest of the Azores. The cyclone is forecast to
continue southward for the next day or so and then stall over
marginally warm waters a few hundred miles south of the Azores. The
cyclone could subsequently develop tropical or subtropical
characteristics by early next week while it moves little. For more
information about marine hazards associated with this system, see
High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

Ya no tiene mucha apariencia de extratropical, y hay algo de convección moderada sosteniéndose al noreste del centro.

Spoiler

[Santiago Linari]