Se viene un huracán que va a afectar Cuba y la costa norte del Golfo de México.
El NHC lo ve como un categoría 2, casi 3, con 110 mph al tocar tierra.


Discusión sobre su intensidad:BULLETIN
Hurricane Ida Advisory Number 6...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092021
500 PM EDT Fri Aug 27 2021
Corrected typo in the second headline
...CENTER OF IDA APPROACHING WESTERN CUBA...
...STORM SURGE AND HURRICANE WARNINGS ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.1N 83.2W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM NW OF THE ISLE OF YOUTH
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM SW OF HAVANA CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Ida was located
near latitude 22.1 North, longitude 83.2 West. Ida is moving toward
the northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h), and this general motion should
continue until Ida reaches the northern Gulf coast on Sunday. A
slower northward motion is forecast after Ida reaches the northern
Gulf coast. On the forecast track, the center of Ida will pass
over western Cuba during the next several hours, and then move over
the southeastern and central Gulf of Mexico later tonight and
Saturday. Ida is forecast to make landfall along the U.S. northern
Gulf coast within the hurricane warning area on Sunday.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 80 mph (130 km/h)
with higher gusts. Little change in strength is anticipated while
Ida moves over western Cuba this evening. Steady to rapid
strengthening is expected when Ida moves over the southeastern and
central Gulf of Mexico over the weekend, and Ida is expected to be
an extremely dangerous major hurricane when it approaches the
northern Gulf coast on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles
(150 km). A wind gust to 46 mph (74 km/h) has recently been
reported on Cayo Largo, Cuba.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 985 mb (29.09 inches).
000
WTNT44 KNHC 272049
TCDAT4
Hurricane Ida Discussion Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092021
500 PM EDT Fri Aug 27 2021
Cuban radar data and reports from an earlier Air Force Reserve
Hurricane Hunter mission indicate that Ida's inner core structure
continued to improve after the release of the previous advisory
package. An eye became apparent in radar imagery before the center
reached the Isle of Youth, and the final fix from the Air Force
Hurricane Hunter aircraft reported a closed 24-n-mi wide eye. The
aircraft measured winds to support hurricane intensity shortly
before 1800 UTC, and during the final northeast eyewall pass, and
flight-level wind data support increasing the intensity to 70 kt,
which is used as the initial intensity for this advisory.
The upper-level outflow has expanded over all but the southwestern
portion of the circulation, and the upper-level wind pattern is
forecast to continue to improve overnight and early Saturday.
Once Ida moves past western Cuba and into the southeastern Gulf of
Mexico, it will be moving through a very favorable oceanic and
atmospheric environment consisting of high ocean heat content
waters, low vertical wind shear, and a moist low- to mid-level
atmosphere. These conditions are likely to result in a period
of rapid strengthening during the next 24 to 36 hours. In fact,
with the higher initial wind speed, the intensity guidance has
significantly increased this cycle, and the bulk of the guidance
now brings Ida to category 4 intensity. The NHC forecast explicitly
calls for rapid intensification during the next 24 to 36 hours,
which is supported by several of the dynamical models, the LGEM
model, and high probabilities of rapid intensification indicated
by the SHIPS and DTOPS RI guidance. The NHC forecast is near
the IVCN multi-model consensus aid, but is lower than HCCA and
LGEM. It should be noted that some fluctuations in intensity are
possible as Ida nears the northern Gulf coast due to possible
eyewall replacement cycles. In addition to the expected increase in
strength, the dynamical model guidance again calls for Ida's wind
field to expand while it moves over the Gulf of Mexico. As a
result, there is higher-than-normal confidence that a large and
powerful hurricane will impact portions of the northern Gulf coast
by late this weekend and early next week.
Ida has wobbled a little right of the previous track, but the longer
term motion continues to be northwestward or 320/13 kt. The steering
currents remain well-established as a strong deep-layer ridge over
the western Atlantic should continue to steer Ida northwestward
across the Gulf this weekend. Ida will approach the western
portion of the ridge after landfall, and this should result in a
slower northward motion by day 3. After that time, a short-wave
trough over the central United States is expected to cause the
system to turn northeastward. The track guidance remains in
remarkably good agreement through landfall along the northern Gulf
coast, and there is higher-than-normal confidence in that portion of
the track forecast. However, users are again reminded to not focus
on the exact details of the track forecast as storm surge, wind,
and rainfall impacts will extend far from the center.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 27/2100Z 22.1N 83.2W 70 KT 80 MPH
12H 28/0600Z 23.5N 84.8W 85 KT 100 MPH
24H 28/1800Z 25.3N 86.9W 105 KT 120 MPH
36H 29/0600Z 27.1N 89.0W 115 KT 130 MPH
48H 29/1800Z 28.6N 90.6W 120 KT 140 MPH
60H 30/0600Z 30.0N 91.3W 80 KT 90 MPH...INLAND
72H 30/1800Z 31.5N 91.1W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND
96H 31/1800Z 34.4N 89.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
120H 01/1800Z 36.0N 86.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
000
WTNT34 KNHC 280239
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
Hurricane Ida Advisory Number 7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092021
1100 PM EDT Fri Aug 27 2021
...IDA NOW ENTERING THE GULF OF MEXICO...
...FORECAST TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY BEFORE REACHING THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.0N 84.0W
ABOUT 105 MI...165 KM W OF HAVANA CUBA
ABOUT 615 MI...985 KM SE OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES
Esta boya va a estar cerca del centro de IDA en un rato. La presión se cae como piedra y ya reporta ráfagas +50kt (80 km/h)...IDA INTENSIFYING OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO... ...PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION TODAY IN THE WARNING AREA ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST...
1:00 PM CDT Sat Aug 28
Location: 25.5°N 86.6°W
Moving: NW at 16 mph
Min pressure: 976 mb
Max sustained: 100 mph